Argentina v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
28 – 24
20 October 1999Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 16:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 44 m
- Temperature
- 7.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 2.5 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Mauricio Reggiardo
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Omar Hasan Jalil
- 4Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 5Alejandro Allub
- 6Santiago Phelan
- 7Rolando Martin
- 8Gonzalo Longo Elia
- 9Agustin Pichot
- 10Gonzalo Quesada
- 11Diego Albanese
- 12Lisandro Arbizu(c)
- 13Eduardo Simone
- 14Gonzalo Camardon
- 15Ignacio Corleto
Replacements
- 16Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 17Martin Scelzo
- 18Manuel Contepomi
- 19Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 20Miguel Ruiz
- 21Lucas Ostiglia
- 22Agustin Canalda
Ireland
- 1Reggie Corrigan-1.6
- 2Keith Wood+3.6
- 3Paul Wallace
- 4Jeremy Davidson
- 5Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 6Andy Ward
- 7Kieron Dawson
- 8Dion O'Cuinneagain(c)
- 9Tom Tierney
- 10David Humphreys
- 11Matt Mostyn
- 12Kevin Maggs
- 13Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 14Justin Bishop
- 15Conor O'Shea
Replacements
- 16Eric Miller-2.2
- 17Bob Casey
- 18Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 19Jonathan Bell
- 20Eric Elwood
- 21Brian O'Meara
- 22Ross Nesdale
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.