Italy v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
19 – 30
3 March 2001Stadio Flaminio, Rome
What the model says about Italy v France
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 17 m
- Temperature
- 15.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 2.0 mm
- Wind
- 22 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 15 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Italy
- 1Andrea Lo Cicero Vaina+4.8
- 2Alessandro Moscardi(c)
- 3Tino Paoletti
- 4Wim Visser
- 5Andrea Gritti
- 6Aaron Persico
- 7Mauro Bergamasco+0.1
- 8Carlo Checchinato
- 9Alessandro Troncon-7.4
- 10Diego Dominguez
- 11Denis Dallan-0.8
- 12Manuel Dallan
- 13Walter Pozzebon
- 14Massimiliano Perziano
- 15Cristian Stoica+7.0
Replacements
- 16Franco Properzi-Curti
- 17Juan Manuel Queirolo
- 18Giampiero de Carli
- 19Carlo Caione
- 20David dal Maso
- 21Andrea Scanavacca
- 22Luca Martin
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4David Auradou-6.7
- 5Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 6Christophe Moni
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Christophe Juillet
- 9Fabien Galthie+6.5
- 10Christophe Lamaison
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Thomas Lombard
- 13Sebastien Bonetti
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Jean-Luc Sadourny
Replacements
- 16Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 17Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 18Fabrice Landreau
- 19Abdelatif Benazzi
- 20Philippe Carbonneau
- 21Gerald Merceron
- 22David Bory
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.