Team profiles

Italy

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

48

Above average — top 43% · Glicko-2 1367 ±76

Record

21-1-35

36.8% of 57 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-8.4

22.3 for, 30.7 against

Home advantage

+10.8

Points per match better at home

Attack

-13%

22.3 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

-10%

30.7 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

Gli Azzurri (The Blues)
Head coach
Gonzalo Quesada
Captain
Michele Lamaro
Union
Italian Rugby Federation
Home ground
Stadio Olimpico
First match
1874 9–0 (Barcelona, Spain; 20 May 1929)
Most caps
Sergio Parisse (142)
Leading scorer
Diego Domínguez (983)
Most tries
Marcello Cuttitta (26)
World Cups
10, from 1987
Best World Cup
Pool stage (1987, 1991, 1995, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2023)

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results

Newest first, from Italy's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer28%
Matches totalling 50 or more56%
Margin swing26.8 points
Last five, most recent firstlostlostlostlostwonL4

Biggest win: 73-6 v Namibia

Heaviest defeat: 17-96 v New Zealand

Where they stand (of 23 ranked teams)
Rating48
13Q1 35Med 46Q3 6485

Above average — top 43%

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Italy. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

9 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Croatia0.19
  2. 2Spain0.27
  3. 3Kenya0.29
  4. 4Japan0.53
  5. 5Lithuania0.68

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

Search

Jump to a tournament, a page, or a team