Scotland v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
10 – 22
22 March 2002Edinburgh, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v France
- Elevation
- 74 m
- Temperature
- 6.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 16 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Mattie Stewart
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Jason White+12.3
- 6Martin Leslie
- 7Budge Pountney
- 8Simon Taylor
- 9Bryan Redpath(c)
- 10Gregor Townsend
- 11Chris Paterson+1.8
- 12John Leslie-1.3
- 13James McLaren
- 14Glenn Metcalfe
- 15Brendan Laney
Replacements
- 16Jon Petrie
- 17George Graham
- 18Stuart Grimes
- 19Robbie Russell+3.0
- 20Kenny Logan
- 21Graeme Beveridge
- 22Duncan Hodge
France
- 1Jean-Jacques Crenca
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Jean-Baptiste Poux-4.2
- 4Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 9Fabien Galthie(c)+6.5
- 10Gerald Merceron
- 11David Bory
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Tony Marsh
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Nicolas Brusque+1.9
Replacements
- 16Jimmy Marlu
- 17Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 18Thibault Privat
- 19Remy Martin
- 20Olivier Azam
- 21Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 22Francois Gelez
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.