France v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
38 – 3
23 February 2003Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v Scotland
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 6.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 21 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Jean-Jacques Crenca
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 4Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 5Olivier Brouzet
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 9Fabien Galthie(c)+6.5
- 10Francois Gelez
- 11Vincent Clerc+1.5
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Clement Poitrenaud-1.3
Replacements
- 16Jean-Baptiste Rue
- 17Christian Califano-10.0
- 18David Auradou-6.7
- 19Sebastien Chabal-2.5
- 20Dimitri Yachvili-2.5
- 21Gerald Merceron
- 22Thomas Castaignede-2.7
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Bruce Douglas
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Stuart Grimes
- 6Martin Leslie
- 7Andrew Mower
- 8Simon Taylor
- 9Bryan Redpath(c)
- 10Brendan Laney
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12Kevin Utterson
- 13Gregor Townsend
- 14Chris Paterson+1.8
- 15Glenn Metcalfe
Replacements
- 16Steve Scott
- 17Gavin Kerr
- 18Jason White+12.3
- 19Jon Petrie
- 20Mike Blair+4.5
- 21Gordon Ross+3.2
- 22Andy Craig
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| France | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | — |
| 3 | Conversions | — |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.