South Africa v Argentina
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
73 – 13
17 August 2013FNB Stadium, Johannesburg
What the model says about South Africa v Argentina
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 1695 m
- Temperature
- 12.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 22 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 31 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Tendai Mtawarira+6.9
- 2Adriaan Strauss-3.8
- 3Jannie du Plessis-1.2
- 4Eben Etzebeth-12.7
- 5Juandre Kruger
- 6Francois Louw+9.7
- 7Willem Alberts+10.1
- 8Duane Vermeulen+6.9
- 9Ruan Pienaar+0.0
- 10Morne Steyn-3.6
- 11Bryan Habana+1.1
- 12Jean de Villiers(c)+0.5
- 13JJ Engelbrecht
- 14Bjorn Basson
- 15Willie le Roux+4.6
Replacements
- 16Bismarck du Plessis+4.3
- 17Gurthro Steenkamp+1.9
- 18Coenie Oosthuizen
- 19Flip van der Merwe+0.1
- 20Siya Kolisi+2.4
- 21Fourie du Preez+10.4
- 22Patrick Lambie+6.5
- 23Jan Serfontein+12.9
Argentina
- 1Juan Figallo-4.0
- 2Eusebio Guinazu
- 3Matias Diaz
- 4Manuel Carizza-12.9
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Pablo Matera-1.1
- 7Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 8Leonardo Senatore+4.8
- 9Martin Landajo
- 10Nicolas Sanchez+2.9
- 11Juan Imhoff+8.0
- 12Felipe Contepomi(c)-2.0
- 13Marcelo Bosch
- 14Gonzalo Camacho
- 15Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
Replacements
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Discipline
| South Africa | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
Scoring
| South Africa | Measure | Argentina |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tries | 1 |
| 8 | Conversions | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.