Ireland v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Aviva Stadium, Dublin
What the model says about Ireland v Scotland
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 16:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 0 m
- Temperature
- 13.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.5 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 46.0% | Possession | 54.0% |
| 49.0% | Territory | 51.0% |
Attack
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 291m | Carry metres | 454m |
| 10 | Defenders beaten | 21 |
| 3 | Offloads | 11 |
| 155 | Passes | 189 |
Defence
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 147 | Tackles made | 123 |
| 21 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 10 |
| 12 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 91.7% | Lineout success | 90.0% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 9 |
| 4 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Rucks won | 101 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 1 |
Kicking
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 397m | Kick metres | 235m |
Discipline
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 10 |
| 16 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 10 |
Scoring
| Ireland | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | 3 |
| 4 | Conversions | 2 |
| — | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.