Italy v Scotland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Torino
What the model says about Italy v Scotland
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 18:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 247 m
- Temperature
- 19.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.5 mm
- Wind
- 5 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 57.0% | Possession | 43.0% |
| 61.0% | Territory | 39.0% |
Attack
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 284m | Carry metres | 352m |
| 12 | Defenders beaten | 14 |
| 6 | Offloads | 9 |
| 110 | Passes | 110 |
Defence
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 102 | Tackles made | 127 |
| 14 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 12 |
| 2 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8% | Lineout success | — |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 11 |
| 6 | Scrums won | 3 |
Breakdown
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 85 | Rucks won | 69 |
| 6 | Mauls won | 3 |
Kicking
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 505m | Kick metres | 680m |
Discipline
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 11 |
| 8 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 13 |
Scoring
| Italy | Measure | Scotland |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tries | 1 |
| — | Conversions | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.