Scotland v Italy
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
48 – 7
29 August 2015Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v Italy
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 14:15 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 14.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.1 mm
- Wind
- 24 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | Possession | 42.0% |
| 57.0% | Territory | 43.0% |
Attack
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 590m | Carry metres | 174m |
| 17 | Defenders beaten | 6 |
| 10 | Offloads | 5 |
| 155 | Passes | 96 |
Defence
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 65 | Tackles made | 108 |
| 6 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 17 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 91.7% | Lineout success | 91.7% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 11 |
| 5 | Scrums won | 5 |
Breakdown
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Rucks won | 51 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 6 |
Kicking
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 492m | Kick metres | 383m |
Discipline
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
| 12 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 15 |
Scoring
| Scotland | Measure | Italy |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tries | 1 |
| 3 | Conversions | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.