Uruguay v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
28 – 43
10 July 2024Estadio Charrua, Montevideo
What the model says about Uruguay v France
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 6.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 14 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Uruguay
- 1Mateo Sanguinetti
- 2Germán Kessler
- 3Reinaldo Piussi
- 4Felipe Aliaga
- 5Manuel Leindekar
- 6Manuel Ardao
- 7Santiago Civetta
- 8Manuel Diana
- 9Santiago Arata
- 10Felipe Etcheverry
- 11Bautista Basso
- 12Andrés Vilaseca
- 13Felipe Arcos Perez
- 14Mateo Vinals
- 15Baltazar Amaya
Replacements
- 16Guillermo Pujadas
- 17Ignacio Péculo
- 18Diego Arbelo
- 19Ignacio Dotti
- 20Lucas Bianchi
- 21Carlos Deus
- 22Tomas Inciarte
- 23Ignacio Alvarez
France
- 1Giorgi Beria
- 2Teddy Baubigny
- 3Thomas Laclayat
- 4Pierre-Henri Azagoh
- 5Florent Vanverberghe
- 6Ibrahim Diallo
- 7Romain Briatte
- 8Killian Tixeront
- 9Baptiste Couilloud
- 10Léo Berdeu
- 11Joris Jurand
- 12Léon Darricarrère
- 13Arthur Vincent
- 14Jules Favre
- 15Lucas Dubois
Replacements
- 16Janick Tarrit
- 17Sébastien Taofifénua
- 18Demba Bamba-4.4
- 19Posolo Tuilagi
- 20Yann Peysson
- 21Baptiste Jauneau
- 22Joris Segonds
- 23Nathanael Hulleu
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| Uruguay | Measure | France |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | 4 |
| 3 | Conversions | 4 |
| — | Penalty goals | 5 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.