Georgia v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
5 – 34
5 July 2025Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
What the model says about Georgia v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 480 m
- Temperature
- 19.6 °C
- Rainfall
- 11.1 mm
- Wind
- 22 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 4 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Georgia
- 1Giorgi Akhaladze
- 2Vano Karkadze
- 3Irakli Aptsiauri
- 4Mikheil Babunashvili
- 5Lado Chachanidze
- 6Luka Ivanishvili
- 7Beka Saginadze(c)
- 8Tornike Jalagonia
- 9Vasil Lobzhanidze
- 10Luka Matkava
- 11Sandro Todua
- 12Giorgi Kveseladze
- 13Demur Tapladze
- 14Akaki Tabutsadze
- 15Davit Niniashvili
Replacements
- 16Irakli Kvatadze
- 17Giorgi Tetrashvili
- 18Beka Gigashvili
- 19Giorgi Javakhia
- 20Ilia Spanderashvili
- 21Mikheil Alania
- 22Tedo Abzhandadze
- 23Tornike Kakhoidze
Ireland
- 1Jack Boyle
- 2Gus McCarthy
- 3Thomas Clarkson
- 4Cormac Izuchukwu
- 5Darragh Murray
- 6Ryan Baird-0.9
- 7Nick Timoney
- 8Gavin Coombes
- 9Craig Casey(c)+4.3
- 10Sam Prendergast
- 11Jacob Stockdale-3.8
- 12Stuart McCloskey+4.8
- 13Jamie Osborne
- 14Tommy O'Brien
- 15Jimmy O'Brien
Replacements
- 16Tom Stewart
- 17Michael Milne
- 18Jack Aungier
- 19Tom Ahern
- 20Max Deegan
- 21Ben Murphy
- 22Jack Crowley
- 23Calvin Nash
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | Possession | 52.0% |
| 54.0% | Territory | 46.0% |
Attack
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Carries | 105 |
| 231m | Carry metres | 345m |
| 1 | Clean breaks | 5 |
| 18 | Defenders beaten | 18 |
| 5 | Offloads | 10 |
| 96 | Passes | 161 |
Defence
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 110 | Tackles made | 110 |
| 74.0% | Tackle success | 80.0% |
| 18 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 18 |
| 9 | Dominant tackles | 18 |
| 6 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 83.0% | Lineout success | 94.0% |
| 19 | Lineouts won | 17 |
| 88.0% | Scrum success | 80.0% |
| 7 | Scrums won | 4 |
Breakdown
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 97.0% | Ruck success | 94.0% |
| 60 | Rucks won | 68 |
| 7 | Mauls won | 3 |
Kicking
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kicks from hand | 44 |
| 940m | Kick metres | 1310m |
Discipline
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 13 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 11 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 6 |
Scoring
| Georgia | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 4 |
| — | Conversions | 4 |
| — | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.