Fiji v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
8 – 73
11 July 2026Hill Dickinson Stadium
What the model says about Fiji v England
- Kick-off
- 13:10 UTC
No reading on file for this ground and day. This ground's coordinate has not been checked against the country it is in, so no altitude or conditions are published for it.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 15 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Fiji
- 1Eroni Mawi
- 2Tevita Ikanivere
- 3Mesake Doge
- 4Tevita Ratuva
- 5Isoa Nasilasila
- 6Peceli Yato
- 7Lekima Tagitagivalu
- 8Levani Botia
- 9Simione Kuruvoli
- 10Caleb Muntz
- 11Jiuta Wainiqolo
- 12Josua Tuisova
- 13Kalaveti Ravouvou
- 14Vuate Karawalevu
- 15Salesi Rayasi
Replacements
- 16Sam Matavesi
- 17Livai Natave
- 18Peni Ravai+5.9
- 19Temo Mayanavanua
- 20Elia Canakaivata
- 21Pita-Gus Sowakula
- 22Frank Lomani
- 23Isaiah Armstrong-Ravula
England
- 1Ellis Genge-12.8
- 2Jamie George-3.9
- 3Joe Heyes
- 4Alex Coles-2.3
- 5George Martin+7.1
- 6Ollie Chessum-2.0
- 7Guy Pepper
- 8Ben Earl+3.7
- 9Jack van Poortvliet+2.8
- 10Fin Smith+5.1
- 11Immanuel Feyi-Waboso+0.6
- 12Seb Atkinson
- 13Henry Slade0.0
- 14Tommy Freeman
- 15Marcus Smith-0.6
Replacements
- 16Luke Cowan-Dickie+1.3
- 17Asher Opoku-Fordjour
- 18George Kloska
- 19Tom Curry+0.8
- 20Henry Pollock
- 21Alex Mitchell-3.3
- 22Benhard Janse van Rensburg
- 23Noah Caluori
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | Possession | 58.0% |
| 45.0% | Territory | 55.0% |
Attack
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 92 | Carries | 102 |
| 275m | Carry metres | 545m |
| — | Clean breaks | 9 |
| 24 | Defenders beaten | 32 |
| 10 | Offloads | 3 |
| 110 | Passes | 132 |
Defence
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 106 | Tackles made | 104 |
| 71.0% | Tackle success | 68.0% |
| 32 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 24 |
| 5 | Dominant tackles | 10 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Lineout success | 100.0% |
| 5 | Lineouts won | 17 |
| 89.0% | Scrum success | 82.0% |
| 8 | Scrums won | 9 |
Breakdown
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | Ruck success | 97.0% |
| 60 | Rucks won | 63 |
| — | Mauls won | 5 |
Kicking
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kicks from hand | 21 |
| 444m | Kick metres | 515m |
Discipline
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 7 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 1 | Red cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 12 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 10 |
Scoring
| Fiji | Measure | England |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 11 |
| — | Conversions | 9 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.