France v Canada
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
33 – 20
2 October 1999Stade Raoul-Barriere, Beziers
What the model says about France v Canada
- Kick-off
- 10:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 31 m
- Temperature
- 17.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.1 mm
- Wind
- 11 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 9 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Raphael Ibanez(c)-4.5
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Abdelatif Benazzi
- 5Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 6Marc Lievremont
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Christophe Juillet
- 9Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 10Thomas Castaignede-2.7
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Stephane Glas
- 13Richard Dourthe
- 14Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
- 15Ugo Mola
Replacements
- 16Emile Ntamack
- 17Christophe Lamaison
- 18Stephane Castaignede
- 19Lionel Mallier
- 20Olivier Brouzet
- 21Cedric Soulette
- 22Pieter de Villiers-5.0
Canada
- 1Rod Snow
- 2Pat Dunkley
- 3Jon Thiel
- 4John Tait
- 5Mike James
- 6John Hutchinson
- 7Dan Baugh
- 8Al Charron
- 9Morgan Williams
- 10Gareth Rees(c)
- 11Courtney Smith
- 12Scott Bryan
- 13Dave Lougheed
- 14Winston Stanley
- 15Scott Stewart
Replacements
- 16Bobby Ross
- 17John Graf
- 18Mike Schmid
- 19Ryan Banks
- 20Richard Bice
- 21Kyle Nichols
- 22Mark Cardinal
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.