Argentina v Samoa
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
32 – 16
10 October 1999Stradey Park, Llanelli · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Samoa
- Kick-off
- 11:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 11 m
- Temperature
- 14.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.1 mm
- Wind
- 27 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Mauricio Reggiardo
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Omar Hasan Jalil
- 4Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 5Alejandro Allub
- 6Rolando Martin
- 7Santiago Phelan
- 8Gonzalo Longo Elia
- 9Agustin Pichot
- 10Gonzalo Quesada
- 11Diego Albanese
- 12Lisandro Arbizu(c)
- 13Eduardo Simone
- 14Octavio Bartolucci
- 15Manuel Contepomi
Replacements
- 16Gonzalo Camardon
- 17Miguel Ruiz
- 18Martin Scelzo
- 19Lucas Ostiglia
- 20Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 21Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 22Agustin Canalda
Samoa
- 1Brendan Reidy
- 2Trevor Leota
- 3Robbie Ale
- 4Opeta Palepoi
- 5Lama Tone
- 6Sene Ta'ala
- 7Junior Paramore
- 8Pat Lam(c)
- 9Steve So'oialo
- 10Stephen Bachop
- 11Brian Lima
- 12Inga Tuigamala
- 13George Leaupepe
- 14Afato So'oalo
- 15Silao Leaegailesolo
Replacements
- 16To'o Vaega
- 17Tanner Vili
- 18Kalolo Toleafoa
- 19Zak Feau'nati
- 20Mike Mika
- 21Onehunga Matauiau Esau
- 22John Clarke
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.