Team profiles

Samoa

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

38

Average — 35th percentile · Glicko-2 1150 ±84

Record

8-1-9

44.4% of 18 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-2.0

22.7 for, 24.7 against

Home advantage

+9.6

Points per match better at home

Attack

-11%

22.7 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

+11%

24.7 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

Manu Samoa
Head coach
Tusi Pisi
Captain
Theo McFarland
Union
Rugby Samoa
Emblem
Southern cross
Home ground
Apia Park
First match
Western Samoa 0–6 (Apia, Samoa; 18 August 1924)
Most caps
Brian Lima (67)
Leading scorer
Tusi Pisi (245)
Most tries
Brian Lima (29)
World Cups
9, from 1991
Best World Cup
Quarterfinals (1991, 1995)

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results
  • Chile2025-09-27 · away1231lost
  • Chile2025-09-20 · home3232drew
  • Scotland2025-07-18 · home1241lost
  • USA2024-09-211813won
  • Japan2024-09-15 · away2749lost

Newest first, from Samoa's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer44%
Matches totalling 50 or more50%
Margin swing17.1 points
Last five, most recent firstlostdrewlostwonlostL1

Biggest win: 43-10 v Chile

Heaviest defeat: 17-49 v Italy

Where they stand (of 23 ranked teams)
Rating38
13Q1 35Med 46Q3 6485

Average — 35th percentile

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is Samoa. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

9 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Georgia0.20
  2. 2Andorra0.39
  3. 3Australia0.58
  4. 4Latvia1.09
  5. 5England1.50

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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