Ireland v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
44 – 14
15 October 1999Aviva Stadium, Dublin
What the model says about Ireland v Romania
- Kick-off
- 17:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 0 m
- Temperature
- 12.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 23 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 5 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 2Ross Nesdale
- 3Paul Wallace
- 4Paddy Johns
- 5Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 6Andy Ward
- 7Kieron Dawson
- 8Dion O'Cuinneagain(c)
- 9Tom Tierney
- 10Eric Elwood
- 11Matt Mostyn
- 12Mike Mullins
- 13Jonathan Bell
- 14James Topping
- 15Conor O'Shea
Replacements
- 16Gordon D'Arcy-0.8
- 17Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 18Brian O'Meara
- 19Alan Quinlan
- 20Jeremy Davidson
- 21Angus McKeen
- 22Keith Wood+3.6
Romania
- 1Razvan Mavrodin
- 2Petru Balan
- 3Constantin Stan
- 4Tudor Constantin(c)
- 5Tiberiu Brinza
- 6Alin Petrache
- 7Erdinci Septar
- 8Catalin Draguceanu
- 9Petre Mitu
- 10Roland Vusec
- 11Gheorghe Solomie
- 12Romeo Gontineac
- 13Gabriel Brezoianu
- 14Cristian Sauan
- 15Mihai Vioreanu
Replacements
- 16Marius Iacob
- 17Ionut Tofan
- 18Radu Fugigi
- 19Florin Corodeanu
- 20Daniel Chiriac
- 21Nicolae Dragos Dima
- 22Laurentiu Rotaru
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.