South Africa v Uruguay
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
39 – 3
15 October 1999Hampden Park, Glasgow · neutral venue
What the model says about South Africa v Uruguay
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 35 m
- Temperature
- 10.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 15 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 5 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Os du Randt+3.9
- 2Naka Drotske
- 3Cobus Visagie
- 4Krynauw Otto
- 5Mark Andrews
- 6Johan Erasmus
- 7Andre Venter
- 8Bobby Skinstad+2.3
- 9Joost van der Westhuizen(c)
- 10Jannie de Beer
- 11Pieter Rossouw
- 12Brendan Venter
- 13Robbie Fleck
- 14Deon Kayser
- 15Percy Montgomery+0.2
Replacements
- 16Albert van den Berg-6.0
- 17Ollie le Roux
- 18Stefan Terblanche-3.6
- 19Pieter Muller
- 20Werner Swanepoel
- 21Andre Vos
- 22Chris Rossouw
Uruguay
- 1Rodrigo Sanchez
- 2Diego Lamelas
- 3Pablo Lemoine
- 4Juan Carlos Bado
- 5Mario Lame
- 6Nicolas Grille
- 7Martin Panizza
- 8Diego Ormaechea(c)
- 9Fernando Sosa Diaz
- 10Diego Aguirre
- 11Pablo Costabile
- 12Fernando Paullier
- 13Pedro Vecino
- 14Juan Menchaca
- 15Alfonso Cardoso
Replacements
- 16Jose Viana
- 17Sebastian Aguirre
- 18Nicolas Brignoni
- 19Eduardo Berruti
- 20Juan Alzueta
- 21Guillermo Storace
- 22Francisco de los Santos
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.