Tonga v Canada
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
7 – 24
29 October 2003WIN Stadium, Wollongong · neutral venue
What the model says about Tonga v Canada
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 08:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 14 m
- Temperature
- 15.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.8 mm
- Wind
- 23 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Tonga
- 1Tonga Lea'aetoa
- 2Ephraim Taukafa
- 3Hemani Lavaka
- 4Milton Ngauamo
- 5Inoke Afeaki(c)
- 6Nisifolo Naufahu
- 7Johnny Tu'amoheloa
- 8Benhur Kivalu
- 9Sililo Martens
- 10Pierre Hola
- 11Sione Fonua
- 12John Payne
- 13Johnny Ngauamo
- 14Pila Fifita
- 15Gus Leger
Replacements
- 16Vili Ma'asi
- 17Kafalosi Tonga
- 18Saia Latu
- 19Ipolito Fenukitau
- 20David Palu
- 21Suka Hufanga
- 22Viliami Vaki
Canada
- 1Rod Snow
- 2Mark Lawson
- 3Garth Cooke
- 4Al Charron(c)
- 5Mike James
- 6Jamie Cudmore
- 7Adam van Staveren
- 8Josh Jackson
- 9Morgan Williams
- 10Bobby Ross
- 11Winston Stanley
- 12Marco di Girolomo
- 13Nik Witkowski
- 14Sean Fauth
- 15Quentin Fyffe
Replacements
- 16Aaron Abrams
- 17Kevin Tkachuk
- 18Colin Yukes
- 19Jeff Reid
- 20Ed Fairhurst
- 21Ryan Smith
- 22James Pritchard
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | Possession | 67.0% |
Attack
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 439m | Carry metres | 213m |
| 14 | Clean breaks | 2 |
| 39 | Defenders beaten | 13 |
| 10 | Offloads | 4 |
| 106 | Passes | 151 |
Defence
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 84 | Tackles made | 104 |
| 87.0% | Tackle success | 73.0% |
| 13 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 39 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 10 |
Set pieces
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | Lineout success | — |
| 15 | Lineouts won | 14 |
| 8 | Scrums won | 13 |
Breakdown
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Rucks won | 65 |
| 9 | Mauls won | 11 |
Kicking
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kicks from hand | 20 |
| 230m | Kick metres | 624m |
Discipline
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 11 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 8 |
Scoring
| Tonga | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 2 |
| 1 | Conversions | 1 |
| — | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.