Scotland v Fiji
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
22 – 20
1 November 2003Allianz Stadium, Sydney · neutral venue
What the model says about Scotland v Fiji
- Kick-off
- 05:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 38 m
- Temperature
- 16.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 26 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Bruce Douglas
- 4Nathan Hines-2.0
- 5Stuart Grimes
- 6Ross Beattie
- 7Cameron Mather
- 8Simon Taylor
- 9Bryan Redpath(c)
- 10Chris Paterson+1.8
- 11Kenny Logan
- 12Andrew Henderson-4.3
- 13Gregor Townsend
- 14Simon Danielli+0.1
- 15Glenn Metcalfe
Replacements
- 16Robbie Russell+3.0
- 17Gordon McIlwham
- 18Jason White+12.3
- 19Jon Petrie
- 20Mike Blair+4.5
- 21James McLaren
- 22Ben Hinshelwood
Fiji
- 1Isaia Rasila
- 2Greg Smith
- 3Joeli Veitayaki
- 4Apenisa Naevo
- 5Ifereimi Rawaqa
- 6Vula Maimuri
- 7Koli Sewabu
- 8Alifereti Doviverata(c)
- 9Moses Rauluni
- 10Nicky Little
- 11Rupeni Caucaunibuca
- 12Seru Rabeni
- 13Epeli Ruivadra
- 14Aisea Tuilevu Kurimudu
- 15Norman Ligairi
Replacements
- 16Naka Seru
- 17Seta Tawake Naivaluwaqa
- 18Sisa Koyamaibole
- 19Kitione Salawa
- 20Jacob Rauluni
- 21Vilimoni Delasau
- 22Isa Nacewa
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 33.0% | Possession | 67.0% |
Attack
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 569m | Carry metres | 448m |
| 2 | Clean breaks | 4 |
| 22 | Defenders beaten | 11 |
| 13 | Offloads | 6 |
| 177 | Passes | 83 |
Defence
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Tackles made | 155 |
| 88.0% | Tackle success | 88.0% |
| 11 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 22 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 13 |
Set pieces
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 81.3% | Lineout success | 64.7% |
| 13 | Lineouts won | 11 |
| 9 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 86 | Rucks won | 50 |
| 8 | Mauls won | 7 |
Kicking
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kicks from hand | 35 |
| 1051m | Kick metres | 1156m |
Discipline
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 12 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 10 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 9 |
Scoring
| Scotland | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 2 |
| 1 | Conversions | 2 |
| 5 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.