France v Namibia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
87 – 10
16 September 2007Stade Toulouse, Toulouse
What the model says about France v Namibia
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 140 m
- Temperature
- 21.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 15 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 21 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Jean-Baptiste Poux-4.2
- 2Dimitri Szarzewski-0.3
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Sebastien Chabal-2.5
- 5Lionel Nallet-5.4
- 6Yannick Nyanga Kabasele+2.5
- 7Thierry Dusautoir-3.4
- 8Julien Bonnaire
- 9Jean-Baptiste Elissalde(c)+1.3
- 10Frederic Michalak+2.7
- 11Cedric Heymans-0.6
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13David Marty+6.7
- 14Vincent Clerc+1.5
- 15Clement Poitrenaud-1.3
Replacements
- 16Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 17Nicolas Mas-1.0
- 18Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 19Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 20Lionel Beauxis+3.4
- 21Yannick Jauzion+9.9
- 22Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
Namibia
- 1Kees Lensing(c)
- 2Hugo Horn
- 3Jane du Toit
- 4Wacca Kazombiaze
- 5Nico Esterhuyse
- 6Michael MacKenzie
- 7Jacques Burger
- 8Jacques Nieuwenhuis
- 9Jurie van Tonder
- 10Emile Wessels
- 11Heini Bock
- 12Piet van Zyl
- 13Bradley Langenhoven
- 14Ryan Witbooi
- 15TC Losper
Replacements
- 16JM Meyer
- 17Johnny Redelinghuys
- 18Herman Lintvelt
- 19Tinus du Plessis
- 20Eugene Jantjies
- 21Lu-Wayne Botes
- 22Melrick Africa
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0% | Possession | 31.0% |
| 80.0% | Territory | 20.0% |
Attack
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 969m | Carry metres | 130m |
| 48 | Defenders beaten | 3 |
| 13 | Offloads | 1 |
| 152 | Passes | 28 |
Defence
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Tackles made | 78 |
| 3 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 47 |
| 1 | Turnovers won | 2 |
Set pieces
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 93.3% | Lineout success | 75.0% |
| 14 | Lineouts won | 6 |
| 12 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Rucks won | 17 |
| 8 | Mauls won | 4 |
Discipline
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 3 |
| — | Red cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 9 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 5 |
Scoring
| France | Measure | Namibia |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Tries | 1 |
| 11 | Conversions | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.