Samoa v Tonga
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
15 – 19
16 September 2007Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier · neutral venue
What the model says about Samoa v Tonga
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 42 m
- Temperature
- 20.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 16 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Samoa
- 1Kas Lealamanu'a
- 2Mo Schwalger
- 3Census Johnston
- 4Joe Tekori
- 5Kane Thompson
- 6Dan Leo
- 7Ulia Ulia
- 8Semo Sititi(c)
- 9Steve So'oialo
- 10Loki Crichton
- 11Alesana Tuilagi
- 12Seilala Mapusua
- 13Elvis Seveali'i
- 14Sailosi Tagicakibau
- 15Gavin Williams
Replacements
- 16Tani Fuga
- 17Muliufi Salanoa
- 18Leo Lafaiali'i
- 19Justin Purdie
- 20Junior Poluleuligaga
- 21Lolo Lui
- 22David Lemi
Tonga
- 1Soane Tonga'uiha
- 2Ephraim Taukafa
- 3Kisi Pulu
- 4Inoke Afeaki
- 5Kele Hehea
- 6Hale T-Pole
- 7Nili Latu(c)
- 8Finau Maka
- 9Enele Taufa
- 10Pierre Hola
- 11Sefa Vaka
- 12Epi Taione
- 13Suka Hufanga
- 14Tevita Tu'ifua
- 15Vunga Lilo
Replacements
- 16Aleki Lutui
- 17Toma Toke
- 18Viliami Vaki
- 19Emosi Kauhenga
- 20Sione Tuipulotu
- 21Kaiongo Tupou
- 22Hudson Tonga'uiha
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | Possession | 51.0% |
| 49.0% | Territory | 51.0% |
Attack
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 307m | Carry metres | 276m |
| 17 | Defenders beaten | 10 |
| 2 | Offloads | 6 |
| 84 | Passes | 56 |
Defence
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Tackles made | 59 |
| 12 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 13 |
| 4 | Turnovers won | 3 |
Set pieces
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 90.9% | Lineout success | 81.3% |
| 20 | Lineouts won | 13 |
| 3 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | Rucks won | 52 |
| 3 | Mauls won | 6 |
Discipline
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 9 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
| — | Red cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 4 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| Samoa | Measure | Tonga |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tries | 1 |
| — | Conversions | 1 |
| 5 | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.