Australia v Fiji
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
55 – 12
23 September 2007Stade de la Mosson, Montpellier · neutral venue
What the model says about Australia v Fiji
- Kick-off
- 12:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 42 m
- Temperature
- 18.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 12 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 12 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1Matt Dunning+1.3
- 2Stephen Moore+5.5
- 3Guy Shepherdson
- 4Mark Chisholm+2.7
- 5Dan Vickerman-0.6
- 6Rocky Elsom
- 7Phil Waugh
- 8Wycliff Palu+4.3
- 9George Gregan(c)
- 10Berrick Barnes+6.4
- 11Lote Tuqiri
- 12Matt Giteau+3.8
- 13Adam Ashley-Cooper-2.1
- 14Drew Mitchell+1.7
- 15Chris Latham+0.2
Replacements
Fiji
- 1Alefoso Yalayalatabua
- 2Vereniki Sauturaga Racagi
- 3Henry Qiodravu
- 4Isoa Domolailai
- 5Ifereimi Rawaqa
- 6Netani Talei
- 7Aca Ratuva
- 8Jone Qovu Nailiko
- 9Jone Daunivucu
- 10Waisea Luveniyali
- 11Isoa Coalala Neivua
- 12Seremaia Bai(c)
- 13Maleli Kunavore
- 14Vilimoni Delasau
- 15Norman Ligairi
Replacements
- 16Bill Gadolo
- 17Jone Railomo Taginayaviusa
- 18Wame Lewaravu
- 19Sisa Koyamaibole
- 20Moses Rauluni
- 21Gaby Lovobalavu
- 22Seru Rabeni
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 59.0% | Possession | 41.0% |
| 64.0% | Territory | 36.0% |
Attack
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 626m | Carry metres | 300m |
| 21 | Defenders beaten | 11 |
| 8 | Offloads | 6 |
| 130 | Passes | 63 |
Defence
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Tackles made | 72 |
| 10 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 22 |
| 2 | Turnovers won | 9 |
Set pieces
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 42.9% |
| 13 | Lineouts won | 9 |
| 10 | Scrums won | 5 |
Breakdown
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 60 | Rucks won | 53 |
| 7 | Mauls won | 1 |
Discipline
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 5 |
| 8 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 6 |
Scoring
| Australia | Measure | Fiji |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | 2 |
| 4 | Conversions | 1 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.