Scotland v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
15 – 6
14 September 2011Invercargill Rugby Park, Invercargill · neutral venue
What the model says about Scotland v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 07:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 6 m
- Temperature
- 8.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 5.1 mm
- Wind
- 25 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 17 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Allan Jacobsen-3.1
- 2Ross Ford
- 3Euan Murray+2.7
- 4Nathan Hines-2.0
- 5Jim Hamilton-3.9
- 6Alasdair Strokosch+1.8
- 7Ross Rennie
- 8Kelly Brown+3.1
- 9Rory Lawson(c)-3.0
- 10Dan Parks+4.1
- 11Sean Lamont+5.6
- 12Graeme Morrison+2.7
- 13Nick de Luca
- 14Max Evans
- 15Rory Lamont+0.8
Replacements
- 16Dougie Hall-1.1
- 17Geoff Cross-3.7
- 18Alasdair Dickinson+2.6
- 19Richie Gray-0.1
- 20Richie Vernon
- 21Chris Cusiter-5.1
- 22Chris Paterson+1.8
Georgia
- 1Davit Khinchagashvili
- 2Jaba Bregvadze
- 3Davit Zirakashvili
- 4Levan Datunashvili
- 5Vakhtang Maisuradze
- 6Shalva Sutiashvili
- 7Mamuka Gorgodze
- 8Dimitri Basilaia
- 9Irakli Abuseridze(c)
- 10Merab Kvirikashvili
- 11Sandro Todua
- 12Tedo Zibzibadze
- 13Davit Kacharava
- 14Irakli Machkhaneli
- 15Revaz Gigauri
Replacements
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 55.0% | Possession | 45.0% |
| 57.0% | Territory | 43.0% |
Attack
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 331m | Carry metres | 206m |
| 17 | Defenders beaten | 5 |
| 145 | Passes | 52 |
Defence
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | Tackles made | 104 |
| 5 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 17 |
Set pieces
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 87.5% | Lineout success | 86.7% |
| 14 | Lineouts won | 13 |
| 26 | Scrums won | 29 |
Breakdown
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 74 | Rucks won | 60 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 5 |
Discipline
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 9 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| Scotland | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.