Argentina v Romania
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
43 – 8
17 September 2011Invercargill Rugby Park, Invercargill · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Romania
- Kick-off
- 03:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 6 m
- Temperature
- 5.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 21 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 7 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Rodrigo Roncero
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Juan Figallo-4.0
- 4Manuel Carizza-12.9
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Alejandro Campos
- 7Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 8Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe(c)
- 9Nicolas Vergallo
- 10Santiago Fernandez
- 11Horacio Agulla
- 12Martin Rodriguez Gurruchage
- 13Marcelo Bosch
- 14Gonzalo Camacho
- 15Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino
Replacements
- 16Agustin Creevy+2.4
- 17Martin Scelzo
- 18Mariano Galarza+8.5
- 19Genaro Fessia
- 20Alfredo Lalanne
- 21Nicolas Sanchez+2.9
- 22Juan Imhoff+8.0
Romania
- 1Mihaita Lazar
- 2Marius Tincu(c)
- 3Paulica Ion
- 4Valentin Ursache
- 5Cristian Petre
- 6Mihai Macovei
- 7Ovidiu Tonita
- 8Daniel Carpo
- 9Florin Surugiu
- 10Ionut Dimofte
- 11Ionel Cazan
- 12Constantin Gheara
- 13Csaba Gal
- 14Madalin Lemnaru
- 15Iulian Dumitras
Replacements
- 16Bogdan Zebega Suman
- 17Silviu Florea
- 18Valentin Poparlan
- 19Daniel Ianus
- 20Valentin Calafeteanu
- 21Dan Dumbrava
- 22Florin Vlaicu
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0% | Possession | 30.0% |
| 74.0% | Territory | 26.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 786m | Carry metres | 224m |
| 31 | Defenders beaten | 5 |
| 168 | Passes | 66 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 56 | Tackles made | 164 |
| 5 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 32 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 75.0% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 6 |
| 32 | Scrums won | 33 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 107 | Rucks won | 42 |
| 8 | Mauls won | 3 |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 17 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 9 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 3 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tries | 1 |
| 5 | Conversions | — |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.