Japan v Canada
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
McLean Park, Napier · neutral venue
What the model says about Japan v Canada
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 04:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 6 m
- Temperature
- 11.2 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 14 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Japan
- 1Hisateru Hirashima
- 2Shota Horie
- 3Nozomu Fujita
- 4Luke Thompson
- 5Toshizumi Kitagawa
- 6Sione Vatuvei
- 7Michael Leitch
- 8Takashi Kikutani(c)
- 9Fumiaki Tanaka
- 10James Arlidge
- 11Hirotoki Onozawa
- 12Ryan Nicholas
- 13Alisi Tupuailei
- 14Kosuke Endo
- 15Shaun Webb
Replacements
- 16Yusuke Aoki
- 17Kensuke Hatakeyama
- 18Hitoshi Ono
- 19Toetuu Taufa
- 20Atsushi Hiwasa
- 21Murray Williams
- 22Bryce Robins
Canada
- 1Hubert Buydens
- 2Pat Riordan(c)
- 3Jason Marshall
- 4Jebb Sinclair
- 5Jamie Cudmore
- 6Adam Kleeberger
- 7Chauncey O'Toole
- 8Aaron Carpenter
- 9Ed Fairhurst
- 10Ander Monro
- 11Phil MacKenzie
- 12Ryan Smith
- 13DTH Van Der Merwe
- 14Matt Evans
- 15James Pritchard
Replacements
- 16Ryan Hamilton
- 17Scott Franklin
- 18Tyler Hotson
- 19Jeremy Kyne
- 20Sean White
- 21Nathan Hirayama
- 22Conor Trainor
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | Possession | 56.0% |
| 45.0% | Territory | 55.0% |
Attack
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 365m | Carry metres | 312m |
| 13 | Defenders beaten | 13 |
| 153 | Passes | 131 |
Defence
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 126 | Tackles made | 94 |
| 14 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 13 |
Set pieces
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 90.9% | Lineout success | 70.0% |
| 10 | Lineouts won | 7 |
| 49 | Scrums won | 56 |
Breakdown
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 74 | Rucks won | 80 |
| 2 | Mauls won | 3 |
Discipline
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 12 |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 9 |
Scoring
| Japan | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 3 |
| 2 | Conversions | 1 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.