Argentina v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
25 – 7
2 October 2011Central Energy Trust Arena, Palmerston North · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 00:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 28 m
- Temperature
- 14.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 4.7 mm
- Wind
- 21 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
-40.35671,175.60117 · imagery by Esri · Google Maps
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 8 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Marcos Ayerza+10.6
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Juan Figallo-4.0
- 4Mariano Galarza+8.5
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Julio Farias Cabello
- 7Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 8Leonardo Senatore+4.8
- 9Nicolas Vergallo
- 10Santiago Fernandez
- 11Juan Imhoff+8.0
- 12Felipe Contepomi(c)-2.0
- 13Marcelo Bosch
- 14Horacio Agulla
- 15Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino
Replacements
- 16Agustin Creevy+2.4
- 17Martin Scelzo
- 18Tomas Vallejos Cinalli
- 19Genaro Fessia
- 20Alfredo Lalanne
- 21Agustin Gosio
- 22Martin Rodriguez Gurruchage
Georgia
- 1Vasil Kakovin
- 2Akvsenti Giorgadze
- 3Davit Kubriashvili
- 4Levan Datunashvili
- 5Vakhtang Maisuradze
- 6Giorgi Chkhaidze
- 7Viktor Kolelishvili
- 8Mamuka Gorgodze
- 9Irakli Abuseridze(c)
- 10Lasha Khmaladze
- 11Sandro Todua
- 12Tedo Zibzibadze
- 13Davit Kacharava
- 14Lexo Gugava
- 15Malkhaz Urjukashvili
Replacements
- 16Jaba Bregvadze
- 17Goderdzi Shvelidze
- 18Ilia Zedginidze
- 19Giorgi Nemsadze
- 20Bidzina Samkharadze
- 21Merab Kvirikashvili
- 22Lasha Malaghuradze
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 49.0% | Possession | 51.0% |
| 52.0% | Territory | 48.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 459m | Carry metres | 245m |
| 20 | Defenders beaten | 7 |
| 109 | Passes | 111 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 68 | Tackles made | 59 |
| 8 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 19 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7% | Lineout success | 70.0% |
| 8 | Lineouts won | 7 |
| 52 | Scrums won | 48 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Rucks won | 70 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 7 |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 17 |
| 8 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 6 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 1 |
| 2 | Conversions | 1 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.