Argentina v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
54 – 9
25 September 2015Kingsholm, Gloucester · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 15:45 UTC
- Elevation
- 19 m
- Temperature
- 11.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 11 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 16 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Marcos Ayerza+10.6
- 2Agustin Creevy(c)+2.4
- 3Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro+2.3
- 4Matías Alemanno+1.7
- 5Tomas Lavanini-0.6
- 6Juan Manuel Leguizamon+1.3
- 7Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe
- 8Facundo Isa+1.6
- 9Tomas Cubelli+7.3
- 10Nicolas Sanchez+2.9
- 11Juan Imhoff+8.0
- 12Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
- 13Marcelo Bosch
- 14Santiago Cordero-1.8
- 15Joaquin Tuculet+5.9
Replacements
- 16Julián Montoya
- 17Lucas Noguera Paz
- 18Ramiro Herrera-3.7
- 19Javier Ortega Desio
- 20Pablo Matera-1.1
- 21Martin Landajo
- 22Jeronimo de la Fuente+6.6
- 23Lucas Gonzalez Amorosino
Georgia
- 1Mikheil Nariashvili
- 2Jaba Bregvadze
- 3Davit Zirakashvili
- 4Giorgi Nemsadze
- 5Konstantine Mikautadze
- 6Giorgi Tkhilaishvili
- 7Viktor Kolelishvili
- 8Mamuka Gorgodze(c)
- 9Vasil Lobzhanidze
- 10Lasha Malaghuradze
- 11Giorgi Aptsiauri
- 12Merab Sharikadze
- 13Davit Kacharava
- 14Tamaz Mchedlidze
- 15Merab Kvirikashvili
Replacements
- 16Shalva Mamukashvili
- 17Karlen Asieshvili
- 18Levan Chilachava
- 19Levan Datunashvili
- 20Shalva Sutiashvili
- 21Giorgi Begadze
- 22Giorgi Pruidze
- 23Murazi Giorgadze
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | Possession | 46.0% |
| 56.0% | Territory | 44.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 678m | Carry metres | 314m |
| 11 | Clean breaks | 3 |
| 27 | Defenders beaten | 32 |
| 19 | Offloads | 13 |
| 190 | Passes | 130 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 107 | Tackles made | 123 |
| 77.0% | Tackle success | 82.0% |
| 32 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 27 |
| 5 | Turnovers won | 7 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 76.9% |
| 15 | Lineouts won | 10 |
| 2 | Scrums won | 3 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Rucks won | 72 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kicks from hand | 34 |
| 335m | Kick metres | 439m |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | — |
| 5 | Conversions | — |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.