Samoa v Japan
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
5 – 26
3 October 2015stadium:mk, Milton Keynes · neutral venue
What the model says about Samoa v Japan
- Kick-off
- 13:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 63 m
- Temperature
- 11.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Samoa
- 1Sakaria Taulafo
- 2Ole Avei
- 3Census Johnston
- 4Filo Paulo
- 5Kane Thompson
- 6Ofisa Treviranus(c)
- 7TJ Ioane
- 8Faifili Levave
- 9Kahn Fotuali'i
- 10Tusi Pisi
- 11Alesana Tuilagi
- 12Johnny Leota
- 13Paul Perez
- 14Ken Pisi
- 15Tim Nanai-Williams
Replacements
- 16Motu Matu'u
- 17Viliamu Afatia
- 18Anthony Perenise
- 19Jack Lam
- 20Vavae Tuilagi
- 21Vavao Afemai
- 22Michael Stanley
- 23Rey Lee-Lo
Japan
- 1Keita Inagaki
- 2Shota Horie
- 3Kensuke Hatakeyama
- 4Luke Thompson
- 5Hitoshi Ono
- 6Michael Leitch(c)
- 7Michael Broadhurst
- 8Ryu Koliniasi Holani
- 9Fumiaki Tanaka
- 10Kosei Ono
- 11Kotaro Matsushima
- 12Harumichi Tatekawa
- 13Male Sa'u
- 14Akihito Yamada
- 15Ayumu Goromaru
Replacements
- 16Takeshi Kizu
- 17Masataka Mikami
- 18Hiroshi Yamashita
- 19Justin Ives
- 20Amanaki Lelei Mafi
- 21Hendrik Tui
- 22Atsushi Hiwasa
- 23Karne Hesketh
Possession and territory
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | Possession | 59.0% |
| 36.0% | Territory | 64.0% |
Attack
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 502m | Carry metres | 343m |
| 6 | Clean breaks | 6 |
| 31 | Defenders beaten | 25 |
| 13 | Offloads | 3 |
| 147 | Passes | 182 |
Defence
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 160 | Tackles made | 115 |
| 86.0% | Tackle success | 79.0% |
| 25 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 31 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 9 |
Set pieces
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 92.3% |
| 5 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 4 | Scrums won | 11 |
Breakdown
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Rucks won | 119 |
| 2 | Mauls won | 5 |
Kicking
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kicks from hand | 31 |
| 301m | Kick metres | 414m |
Discipline
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 12 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 8 |
Scoring
| Samoa | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 2 |
| — | Conversions | 2 |
| — | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.