Fiji v Uruguay
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
47 – 15
6 October 2015stadium:mk, Milton Keynes · neutral venue
What the model says about Fiji v Uruguay
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 63 m
- Temperature
- 15.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 10.5 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 1 of the 46 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Fiji
- 1Campese Ma'afu
- 2Sunia Koto
- 3Lee-Roy Atalifo
- 4Api Ratuniyarawa
- 5Leone Nakarawa
- 6Dominiko Waqaniburotu
- 7Akapusi Qera(c)
- 8Masi Matadigo
- 9Nemia Kenatale
- 10Ben Volavola
- 11Nemani Nadolo
- 12Levani Botia
- 13Vereniki Goneva
- 14Asaeli Tikoirotuma
- 15Kini Murimurivalu
Replacements
- 16Viliame Veikoso
- 17Peni Ravai+5.9
- 18Taniela Koroi
- 19Tevita Cavubati
- 20Netani Talei
- 21Henry Seniloli
- 22Josh Matavesi
- 23Timoci Nagusa
Uruguay
- 1Alejo Corral
- 2Carlos Arboleya Sarazola
- 3Mario Sagario
- 4Santiago Vilaseca Hontou(c)
- 5Jorge Zerbino Stajano
- 6Juan Gaminara
- 7Matias Beer
- 8Alejandro Nieto
- 9Agustin Ormaechea
- 10Alejo Duran Parletti
- 11Rodrigo Silva
- 12Andrés Vilaseca
- 13Joaquin Prada
- 14Santiago Gibernau Arredondo
- 15Gaston Mieres
Replacements
- 16Germán Kessler
- 17Oscar Duran de Bertolaza
- 18Mateo Sanguinetti
- 19Mathias Palomeque Castro
- 20Franco Lamanna
- 21Juan De Freitas
- 22Jeronimo Etcheverry
- 23Francisco Bulanti
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | Possession | 46.0% |
| 63.0% | Territory | 37.0% |
Attack
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 530m | Carry metres | 242m |
| 9 | Clean breaks | 3 |
| 27 | Defenders beaten | 17 |
| 10 | Offloads | 7 |
| 137 | Passes | 72 |
Defence
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Tackles made | 105 |
| 80.0% | Tackle success | 80.0% |
| 17 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 27 |
| 13 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 80.0% | Lineout success | 88.9% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 16 |
| 9 | Scrums won | 2 |
Breakdown
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Rucks won | 54 |
| 3 | Mauls won | 8 |
Kicking
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kicks from hand | 27 |
| 714m | Kick metres | 444m |
Discipline
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| — | Red cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 3 |
Scoring
| Fiji | Measure | Uruguay |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tries | 2 |
| 6 | Conversions | 1 |
| — | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.