USA v Japan
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Kingsholm, Gloucester · neutral venue
What the model says about USA v Japan
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 19 m
- Temperature
- 11.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
USA
- 1Eric Fry
- 2Zach Fenoglio
- 3Titi Lamositele
- 4Hayden Smith
- 5Greg Peterson
- 6Al McFarland
- 7Andrew Durutalo
- 8Samu Manoa
- 9Mike Petri
- 10AJ MacGinty
- 11Zack Test
- 12Thretton Palamo
- 13Seamus Kelly
- 14Takudzwa Ngwenya
- 15Chris Wyles(c)
Replacements
- 16Phil Thiel
- 17Olive Kilifi
- 18Chris Baumann
- 19Cam Dolan
- 20John Quill
- 21Danny Barrett
- 22Niku Kruger
- 23Folau Niua
Japan
- 1Keita Inagaki
- 2Shota Horie
- 3Hiroshi Yamashita
- 4Luke Thompson
- 5Justin Ives
- 6Michael Leitch(c)
- 7Michael Broadhurst
- 8Ryu Koliniasi Holani
- 9Fumiaki Tanaka
- 10Kosei Ono
- 11Kotaro Matsushima
- 12Craig Wing
- 13Harumichi Tatekawa
- 14Yoshikazu Fujita
- 15Ayumu Goromaru
Replacements
- 16Takeshi Kizu
- 17Masataka Mikami
- 18Kensuke Hatakeyama
- 19Shinya Makabe
- 20Amanaki Lelei Mafi
- 21Hendrik Tui
- 22Atsushi Hiwasa
- 23Karne Hesketh
Possession and territory
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 47.0% | Possession | 53.0% |
| 48.0% | Territory | 52.0% |
Attack
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 358m | Carry metres | 372m |
| 5 | Clean breaks | 4 |
| 19 | Defenders beaten | 18 |
| 5 | Offloads | 14 |
| 154 | Passes | 147 |
Defence
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 142 | Tackles made | 138 |
| 89.0% | Tackle success | 88.0% |
| 18 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 19 |
| 11 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| — | Lineout success | 90.0% |
| 9 | Lineouts won | 9 |
| 5 | Scrums won | 8 |
Breakdown
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Rucks won | 102 |
| 3 | Mauls won | 6 |
Kicking
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kicks from hand | 24 |
| 266m | Kick metres | 270m |
Discipline
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 5 |
Scoring
| USA | Measure | Japan |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 3 |
| 1 | Conversions | 2 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.