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USA

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

64

Strong — top 23% · Glicko-2 1537 ±86

Record

17-1-17

48.6% of 35 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-3.9

24.8 for, 28.7 against

Home advantage

+11.2

Points per match better at home

Attack

-6%

24.8 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

-5%

28.7 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

Eagles
Head coach
Scott Lawrence
Captain
AJ MacGinty
Union
USA Rugby
Emblem
Bald eagle
First match
United States 8–12 (California, United States; November 16, 1912)}}
Most caps
Todd Clever (76)
Leading scorer
Mike Hercus (465)
Most tries
Vaea Anitoni (26)
World Cups
9, from 1987
Best World Cup
Pool stage (1987, 1991, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, 2019)

Anthem

The Star Spangled Banner

March 3, 1931 · 1:18

Words
English lyrics 1. Oh, say can you see by the dawn’s early light What so proudly we hailed at the twilight’s last gleaming? Whose broad stripes and bright stars thru the perilous fight, O’er the ramparts we watched were so gallantly streaming? And the rocket’s red glare, the bombs bursting in air, Gave proof thru the night that our flag was still there. Oh, say does that star-spangled banner yet wave O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave? 2. On the shore, dimly seen through the mists of the deep, Where the foe’s haughty host in dread silence reposes, What is that which the breeze, o’er the towering steep, As it fitfully blows, half conceals, half discloses? Now it catches the gleam of the morning’s first beam, In full glory reflected now shines in the stream: ‘Tis the star-spangled banner! Oh long may it wave O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave. 3. And where is that band who so vauntingly swore That the havoc of war and the battle’s confusion, A home and a country should leave us no more! Their blood has washed out of their foul footsteps’ pollution. No refuge could save the hireling and slave From the terror of flight and the gloom of the grave: And the star-spangled banner in triumph doth wave O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave. 4. Oh! thus be it ever, when freemen shall stand Between their loved home and the war’s desolation! Blest with victory and peace, may the heav’n rescued land Praise the Power that hath made and preserved us a nation. Then conquer we must, when our cause it is just, And this be our motto: “In God is our trust.” And the star-spangled banner in triumph shall wave O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave.

Recording and words from nationalanthems.info, used under CC BY 4.0.

From Wikipedia, read 2026-10-19. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results
  • Canada2026-09-1916–19lost
  • Japan2026-09-12 · away14–63lost
  • Spain2026-07-18 · home29–22won
  • Zimbabwe2026-07-11 · home31–15won
  • Portugal2026-07-04 · home30–29won

Newest first, from USA's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer29%
Matches totalling 50 or more54%
Margin swing30.3 points
Last five, most recent firstlostlostwonwonwonL2

Biggest win: 68-14 v Kenya

Heaviest defeat: 14-104 v New Zealand

Where they stand (of 65 ranked teams)
Rating64
1Q1 32Med 49Q3 6492

Strong — top 23%

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is USA. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams
Teams with too few matches to rate confidently, which are most of the outliers.

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 72% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (42%) rises with more average margin and win rate. Component 2 (30%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

29 of 66 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and hovering one names it.

  1. 1Argentina0.29
  2. 2Kenya0.39
  3. 3Uruguay0.58
  4. 4Chile0.62
  5. 5Croatia0.74

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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