Team profiles

USA

Five years of results, read from this team's own point of view.

Rating

34

Average — 26th percentile · Glicko-2 1088 ±88

Record

14-1-15

46.7% of 30 matches in the last five years

Average margin

-3.5

24.7 for, 28.2 against

Home advantage

+10.0

Points per match better at home

Attack

-3%

24.7 scored per match, against the placed field's average

Defence

-1%

28.2 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average

Eagles
Head coach
Scott Lawrence
Captain
AJ MacGinty
Union
USA Rugby
Emblem
Bald eagle
First match
United States 8–12 (California, United States; November 16, 1912)}}
Most caps
Todd Clever (76)
Leading scorer
Mike Hercus (465)
Most tries
Vaea Anitoni (26)
World Cups
9, from 1987
Best World Cup
Pool stage (1987, 1991, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2011, 2015, 2019)

From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.

Recent results
  • Romania2025-11-15 · away2618won
  • Georgia2025-11-08 · away3043lost
  • Scotland2025-11-01 · away085lost
  • England2025-07-20 · home540lost
  • Spain2025-07-12 · home2031lost

Newest first, from USA's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.

Shape
Matches decided by seven or fewer27%
Matches totalling 50 or more53%
Margin swing31.2 points
Last five, most recent firstwonlostlostlostlostW1

Biggest win: 68-14 v Kenya

Heaviest defeat: 14-104 v New Zealand

Where they stand (of 23 ranked teams)
Rating34
13Q1 35Med 46Q3 6485

Average — 26th percentile

Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is USA. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.

Most similar teams

Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.

11 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.

  1. 1Uruguay0.27
  2. 2Argentina0.28
  3. 3Fiji0.35
  4. 4Chile0.42
  5. 5Kenya0.61

Distance in the projection above, nearest first.

Rugby Tournament Predictor — unofficial, and not affiliated with any union, club or competition. About and sourcesForecasts are probabilities, not predictions of one result.

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