Russia v Samoa
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
9 – 34
24 September 2019Kumagaya Rugby Stadium, Saitama
What the model says about Russia v Samoa
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 10:15 UTC
- Elevation
- 11 m
- Temperature
- 23.8 °C
- Rainfall
- 10.5 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
Matchday squads
Russia
- 1Valery Morozov
- 2Stanislav Selskii
- 3Kirill Gotovtsev
- 4Andrei Ostrikov
- 5Bogdan Fedotko
- 6Vitaly Zhivatov
- 7Tagir Gadzhiev
- 8Nikita Vavilin
- 9Vasily Dorofeev
- 10Yuri Kushnarev
- 11Kirill Golosnitskiy
- 12Dimitry Gerasimov
- 13Vladimir Ostroushko
- 14German Davydov
- 15Vasily Artemyev(c)
Replacements
- 16Evgeny Matveev
- 17Andrei Polivalov
- 18Azamat Bitiev
- 19Andrey Garbuzov
- 20Anton Sychev
- 21Dmitry Perov
- 22Ramil Gaisin
- 23Vladislav Sozonov
Samoa
- 1Logovi'i Mulipola
- 2Motu Matu'u
- 3Michael Alaalatoa
- 4Filo Paulo
- 5Kane Le'aupepe
- 6Chris Vui(c)
- 7TJ Ioane
- 8Afaesetiti Amosa
- 9Dwayne Polataivao
- 10Tusi Pisi
- 11Ed Fidow
- 12Henry Taefu
- 13Rey Lee-Lo
- 14Alapati Leiua
- 15Tim Nanai-Williams
Replacements
- 16Ray Niuia
- 17Paul Alo-Emile
- 18Jordan Lay
- 19Senio Toleafoa
- 20Josh Tyrell
- 21Melani Matavao
- 22AJ Alatimu
- 23Ulupano Seuteni
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 60.0% | Possession | 40.0% |
| 62.0% | Territory | 38.0% |
Attack
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 270m | Carry metres | 519m |
| 4 | Clean breaks | 13 |
| 23 | Defenders beaten | 44 |
| 5 | Offloads | 12 |
| 140 | Passes | 132 |
Defence
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 101 | Tackles made | 167 |
| 70.0% | Tackle success | 88.0% |
| 44 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 23 |
| 5 | Turnovers won | 8 |
Set pieces
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 91.7% | Lineout success | 90.0% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 9 |
| 8 | Scrums won | 4 |
Breakdown
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 107 | Rucks won | 67 |
| 6 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kicks from hand | 21 |
| 689m | Kick metres | 563m |
Discipline
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
| 10 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 9 |
Scoring
| Russia | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| — | Tries | 6 |
| — | Conversions | 2 |
| 2 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.