Japan v Samoa
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
28 – 22
28 September 2023Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
What the model says about Japan v Samoa
- Kick-off
- 19:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 140 m
- Temperature
- 22.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 11 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Japan
- 1Keita Inagaki
- 2Shota Horie
- 3Jiwon Gu
- 4Jack Cornelsen
- 5Amato Fakatava
- 6Michael Leitch
- 7Pieter Labuschagne
- 8Kazuki Himeno(c)
- 9Naoto Saitō
- 10Rikiya Matsuda
- 11Jone Naikabula
- 12Ryoto Nakamura
- 13Dylan Riley
- 14Kotaro Matsushima
- 15Lomano Lemeki
Replacements
Samoa
- 1James Lay
- 2Seilala Lam
- 3Paul Alo-Emile
- 4Steven Luatua
- 5Theo McFarland
- 6Taleni Seu
- 7Fritz Lee(c)
- 8Jordan Taufua
- 9Jonathan Taumateine
- 10Christian Leali'ifano
- 11Ben Lam
- 12D'Angelo Leuila
- 13Tumua Manu
- 14Ed Fidow
- 15Duncan Paia'aua
Replacements
Possession and territory
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 43.0% | Possession | 57.0% |
| 48.0% | Territory | 52.0% |
Attack
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 426m | Carry metres | 441m |
| 6 | Clean breaks | 2 |
| 21 | Defenders beaten | 31 |
| 4 | Offloads | 17 |
| 112 | Passes | 140 |
Defence
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 181 | Tackles made | 83 |
| 74.0% | Tackle success | 74.0% |
| 31 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 21 |
| 11 | Dominant tackles | 9 |
| 3 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 88.0% | Lineout success | 82.0% |
| 14 | Lineouts won | 9 |
| 75.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 9 | Scrums won | 5 |
Breakdown
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Ruck success | 98.0% |
| 58 | Rucks won | 110 |
| 2 | Mauls won | 3 |
Kicking
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kicks from hand | 17 |
| 569m | Kick metres | 591m |
Discipline
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| — | Red cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 4 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 12 |
Scoring
| Japan | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 3 |
| 2 | Conversions | 2 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.