Canada v Spain
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
23 – 24
19 July 2025Clarke Stadium, Edmonton
What the model says about Canada v Spain
- Kick-off
- 01:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 664 m
- Temperature
- 18.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 8.8 mm
- Wind
- 18 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Canada
- 1Calixto Martinez
- 2Andrew Quattrin
- 3Cole Keith
- 4Piers von Dadelszen
- 5Evan Olmstead
- 6Sion Parry
- 7Lucas Rumball(c)
- 8Matt Oworu
- 9Jason Higgins
- 10Cooper Coats
- 11Josiah Morra
- 12Spencer Jones
- 13Noah Flesch
- 14Isaac Olson
- 15Peter Nelson
Replacements
- 16Dewald Kotze
- 17Emerson Prior
- 18Kyle Steeves
- 19Izzak Kelly
- 20Matt Heaton
- 21Stephen Webb
- 22Kyle Tremblay
- 23Brenden Black
Spain
- 1Thierry Futeu
- 2Álvaro García(c)
- 3Joaquín Domínguez
- 4Matthew Foulds
- 5Asier Usarraga
- 6Ignacio Piñeiro
- 7Ekain Imaz
- 8Raphaël Nieto
- 9Kerman Aurrekoetxea
- 10Gonzalo Vinuesa
- 11Pau Aira
- 12Gonzalo Lopez Bontempo
- 13Iñaki Mateu
- 14Martiniano Cian
- 15John Wessel Bell
Replacements
- 16Vicente del Hoyo
- 17Bernardo Vazquez
- 18Lucas Santamaría
- 19Imanol Urraza
- 20Vicente Boronat
- 21Estanislao Bay
- 22Álvar Gimeno
- 23Gauthier Minguillon
Possession and territory
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | Possession | 49.0% |
| 48.0% | Territory | 52.0% |
Attack
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 105 | Carries | 123 |
| 316m | Carry metres | 552m |
| 3 | Clean breaks | 4 |
| 14 | Defenders beaten | 17 |
| 5 | Offloads | 7 |
| 109 | Passes | 141 |
Defence
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 133 | Tackles made | 143 |
| 81.0% | Tackle success | 87.0% |
| 17 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 8 | Dominant tackles | 8 |
| 4 | Turnovers won | 4 |
Set pieces
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Lineout success | 75.0% |
| 9 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 83.0% | Scrum success | 80.0% |
| 5 | Scrums won | 4 |
Breakdown
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | Ruck success | 96.0% |
| 88 | Rucks won | 86 |
| 3 | Mauls won | 4 |
Kicking
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Kicks from hand | 26 |
| 1150m | Kick metres | 856m |
Discipline
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 2 |
Scoring
| Canada | Measure | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 2 |
| 2 | Conversions | — |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 4 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.