Samoa v Chile
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
32 – 32
20 September 2025America First Field, Sandy
What the model says about Samoa v Chile
- Kick-off
- 19:35 UTC
- Elevation
- 1350 m
- Temperature
- 21.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.2 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Samoa
- 1Aki Seiuli
- 2Pita Anae-Ah Sue
- 3Michael Alaalatoa
- 4Benjamin Nee-Nee
- 5Michael Curry
- 6OJ Noa
- 7Alamanda Motuga
- 8Iakopo Mapu
- 9Connor Tupai
- 10Christian Leali'ifano
- 11Latrell Smiler Ah-Kiong
- 12Theo Steffany
- 13Melani Nanai
- 14Elisapeta Alofipo
- 15Lolagi Visinia
Replacements
- 16Ray Niuia
- 17Jarred Adams
- 18Bradley Amituanai
- 19Potu Leavasa
- 20Abraham Papali'i
- 21Joel Lam
- 22Henry Taefu
- 23Tomasi Alosio
Possession and territory
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | Possession | 44.0% |
| 54.0% | Territory | 46.0% |
Attack
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 131 | Carries | 88 |
| 407m | Carry metres | 207m |
| 10 | Clean breaks | 3 |
| 38 | Defenders beaten | 14 |
| 5 | Offloads | 4 |
| 148 | Passes | 61 |
Defence
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 124 | Tackles made | 167 |
| 86.0% | Tackle success | 76.0% |
| 13 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 38 |
| 5 | Dominant tackles | 9 |
| 3 | Turnovers won | 7 |
Set pieces
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 79.0% | Lineout success | 86.0% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 100.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 5 | Scrums won | 5 |
Breakdown
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Ruck success | 96.0% |
| 97 | Rucks won | 71 |
| 6 | Mauls won | 7 |
Kicking
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kicks from hand | 16 |
| 194m | Kick metres | 315m |
Discipline
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 3 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| Samoa | Measure | Chile |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tries | 4 |
| 2 | Conversions | 3 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 2 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.