Chile v Samoa
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
31 – 12
27 September 2025Estadio Sausalito, Valparaiso
What the model says about Chile v Samoa
- Kick-off
- 19:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 35 m
- Temperature
- 13.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 20 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Chile
- 1Javier Carrasco
- 2Diego Escobar
- 3Iñaki Gurruchaga
- 4Santiago Pedrero
- 5Javier Eissmann
- 6Raimundo Martínez
- 7Clemente Saavedra
- 8Alfonso Escobar
- 9Benjamin Videla
- 10Rodrigo Fernández
- 11Nicolás Saab
- 12Santiago Videla
- 13Domingo Saavedra
- 14Matías Garafulic
- 15Inaki Ayarza
Replacements
Samoa
- 1Jarred Adams
- 2Pita Anae-Ah Sue
- 3Bradley Amituanai
- 4Benjamin Nee-Nee
- 5Michael Curry
- 6OJ Noa
- 7Alamanda Motuga
- 8Abraham Papali'i
- 9Connor Tupai
- 10Martini Talapusi
- 11Latrell Smiler Ah-Kiong
- 12Theo Steffany
- 13Melani Nanai
- 14Tomasi Alosio
- 15Lolagi Visinia
Replacements
- 16Ray Niuia
- 17Ivan Fepuleai
- 18Herman Huch
- 19Potu Leavasa
- 20Jonah Mau'u
- 21Rilloy Suesue
- 22Afa Moleli
- 23Elisapeta Alofipo
Possession and territory
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | Possession | 56.0% |
| 42.0% | Territory | 58.0% |
Attack
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 116 | Carries | 135 |
| 547m | Carry metres | 342m |
| 5 | Clean breaks | 3 |
| 26 | Defenders beaten | 43 |
| 10 | Offloads | 8 |
| 104 | Passes | 186 |
Defence
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 179 | Tackles made | 124 |
| 75.0% | Tackle success | 76.0% |
| 43 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 26 |
| 16 | Dominant tackles | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers won | 9 |
Set pieces
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Lineout success | 100.0% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 14 |
| 67.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 2 | Scrums won | 3 |
Breakdown
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 95.0% | Ruck success | 92.0% |
| 70 | Rucks won | 103 |
| 5 | Mauls won | 2 |
Kicking
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kicks from hand | 25 |
| 666m | Kick metres | 893m |
Discipline
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 16 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 8 |
Scoring
| Chile | Measure | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 2 |
| 2 | Conversions | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.