Georgia v Canada
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
38 – 17
15 November 2025Adjarabet Arena, Batumi
What the model says about Georgia v Canada
- Kick-off
- 12:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 4 m
- Temperature
- 12.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 1.5 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Georgia
- 1Dato Abdushelishvili
- 2Vano Karkadze
- 3Irakli Aptsiauri
- 4Mikheil Babunashvili
- 5Lado Chachanidze
- 6Ilia Spanderashvili
- 7Beka Saginadze
- 8Beka Gorgadze(c)
- 9Vasil Lobzhanidze
- 10Tedo Abzhandadze
- 11Demur Tapladze
- 12Georges Shvelidze
- 13Giorgi Kveseladze
- 14Shalva Aptsiauri
- 15Davit Niniashvili
Replacements
- 16Irakli Kvatadze
- 17Giorgi Tetrashvili
- 18Beka Gigashvili
- 19Giorgi Javakhia
- 20Luka Ivanishvili
- 21Tornike Jalagonia
- 22Gela Aprasidze
- 23Luka Matkava
Canada
- 1Emerson Prior
- 2Dewald Kotze
- 3Cole Keith
- 4Piers von Dadelszen
- 5Barnaby Waddell
- 6Mason Flesch
- 7Lucas Rumball(c)
- 8Matt Oworu
- 9Jason Higgins
- 10Robbie Povey
- 11Nic Benn
- 12Noah Flesch
- 13Spencer Jones
- 14Josiah Morra
- 15Peter Nelson
Replacements
- 16Austin Creighton
- 17Sam Miller
- 18Matt Tierney
- 19Izzak Kelly
- 20Callum Botchar
- 21Sion Parry
- 22Brock Gallagher
- 23Kyle Tremblay
Possession and territory
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 39.0% | Possession | 61.0% |
| 40.0% | Territory | 60.0% |
Attack
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 83 | Carries | 126 |
| 458m | Carry metres | 376m |
| 10 | Clean breaks | 4 |
| 27 | Defenders beaten | 21 |
| 8 | Offloads | 8 |
| 100 | Passes | 208 |
Defence
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 169 | Tackles made | 69 |
| 83.0% | Tackle success | 64.0% |
| 21 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 27 |
| 46 | Dominant tackles | 9 |
| 7 | Turnovers won | 3 |
Set pieces
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 73.0% | Lineout success | 90.0% |
| 11 | Lineouts won | 18 |
| 100.0% | Scrum success | 25.0% |
| 6 | Scrums won | 1 |
Breakdown
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 98.0% | Ruck success | 96.0% |
| 45 | Rucks won | 103 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 6 |
Kicking
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Kicks from hand | 25 |
| 918m | Kick metres | 990m |
Discipline
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 3 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 1 |
| 6 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| Georgia | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tries | 2 |
| 4 | Conversions | 2 |
| — | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.