Portugal v Canada
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
33 – 27
22 November 2025Estádio Municipal Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra
What the model says about Portugal v Canada
- Kick-off
- 16:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 46 m
- Temperature
- 7.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
40.20333,-8.40778 · imagery by Esri · Google Maps
Portugal
- 1Luis Lopes
- 2Luka Begic
- 3Cody Thomas
- 4Duarte Nunes
- 5Duarte Torgal
- 6Francisco Almeida
- 7Nicolas Martins
- 8David Wallis
- 9Tomas Amado
- 10Manuel Vareiro
- 11Simão Bento
- 12Guilherme Vasconcelos
- 13Rodrigo Marta
- 14Raffaele Storti
- 15Vincent Pinto
Replacements
- 16Abel da Cunha
- 17Nuno Mascarenhas
- 18António Prim
- 19Martim Bello
- 20Vasco Baptista
- 21Hugo Camacho
- 22Hugo Aubry
- 23Martim Faro
Canada
- 1Sam Miller
- 2Dewald Kotze
- 3Matt Tierney
- 4Piers von Dadelszen
- 5Izzak Kelly
- 6Mason Flesch
- 7Lucas Rumball
- 8Matt Oworu
- 9Brock Gallagher
- 10Robbie Povey
- 11Nic Benn
- 12Kyle Tremblay
- 13Spencer Jones
- 14Morgan Di Nardo
- 15Cooper Coats
Replacements
- 16Austin Creighton
- 17Emerson Prior
- 18Cole Keith
- 19Callum Botchar
- 20Sion Parry
- 21James Naylor
- 22Noah Flesch
- 23Peter Nelson
Possession and territory
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 50.0% | Possession | 50.0% |
| 58.0% | Territory | 42.0% |
Attack
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 107 | Carries | 109 |
| 295m | Carry metres | 271m |
| 3 | Clean breaks | 2 |
| 14 | Defenders beaten | 12 |
| 4 | Offloads | 6 |
| 137 | Passes | 124 |
Defence
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 122 | Tackles made | 120 |
| 80.0% | Tackle success | 80.0% |
| 12 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 14 |
| 14 | Dominant tackles | 4 |
| 3 | Turnovers won | 5 |
Set pieces
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Lineout success | 75.0% |
| 7 | Lineouts won | 9 |
| 100.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 4 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 96.0% | Ruck success | 98.0% |
| 78 | Rucks won | 81 |
| 4 | Mauls won | 6 |
Kicking
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kicks from hand | 20 |
| 819m | Kick metres | 704m |
Discipline
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 7 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| Portugal | Measure | Canada |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 2 |
| 3 | Conversions | 1 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | 5 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.