France v Georgia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
64 – 7
30 September 2007Orange Velodrome, Marseille
What the model says about France v Georgia
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 8 m
- Temperature
- 19.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 25 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 18 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Olivier Milloud-7.6
- 2Sebastien Bruno
- 3Jean-Baptiste Poux-4.2
- 4Lionel Nallet-5.4
- 5Jerome Thion-2.8
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua(c)+7.0
- 7Yannick Nyanga Kabasele+2.5
- 8Julien Bonnaire
- 9Pierre Mignoni-1.1
- 10Lionel Beauxis+3.4
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Yannick Jauzion+9.9
- 13David Marty+6.7
- 14Aurelien Rougerie-0.2
- 15Clement Poitrenaud-1.3
Replacements
- 16Dimitri Szarzewski-0.3
- 17Nicolas Mas-1.0
- 18Fabien Pelous+1.3
- 19Remy Martin
- 20Jean-Baptiste Elissalde+1.3
- 21David Skrela
- 22Vincent Clerc+1.5
Georgia
- 1Mamuka Magrakvelidze
- 2Akvsenti Giorgadze
- 3Davit Zirakashvili
- 4Victor Didebulidze
- 5Zurab Mtchedlishvili
- 6Ilia Maisuradze
- 7Rati Urushadze
- 8Giorgi Chkhaidze
- 9Irakli Abuseridze(c)
- 10Merab Kvirikashvili
- 11Beso Khamashuridze
- 12Irakli Giorgadze
- 13Revaz Gigauri
- 14Malkhaz Urjukashvili
- 15Otar Barkalaia
Replacements
- 16Goderdzi Shvelidze
- 17Avto Kopaliani
- 18Levan Datunashvili
- 19Zviad Maisuradze
- 20Bidzina Samkharadze
- 21Otar Eloshvili
- 22Giorgi Elizbarashvili
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | Possession | 46.0% |
| 60.0% | Territory | 40.0% |
Attack
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 558m | Carry metres | 240m |
| 13 | Defenders beaten | 3 |
| 20 | Offloads | 9 |
| 127 | Passes | 49 |
Defence
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 88 | Tackles made | 79 |
| 3 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 12 |
| 1 | Turnovers won | 2 |
Set pieces
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 87.5% | Lineout success | 66.7% |
| 14 | Lineouts won | 8 |
| 7 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Rucks won | 66 |
| 10 | Mauls won | 6 |
Discipline
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 14 |
| — | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | 2 |
| 5 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| France | Measure | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tries | 1 |
| 5 | Conversions | 1 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.