South Africa v New Zealand
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
33 – 26
29 August 2026DHL Stadium, Cape Town
- Kick-off
- 15:10 UTC
- Elevation
- 16 m
- Temperature
- 14.1 °C
- Rainfall
- 3.4 mm
- Wind
- 17 km/h
Forecast for the day of the match, from Open-Meteo. It will be replaced by what the weather actually did once the archive reaches that day.
South Africa
- 1Gerhard Steenekamp
- 2Deon Fourie
- 3Thomas du Toit
- 4Eben Etzebeth
- 5Ruan Nortjé
- 6Siya Kolisi
- 7Pieter-Steph du Toit
- 8Jasper Wiese
- 9Cobus Reinach
- 10Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu
- 11Ethan Hooker
- 12Damian de Allende
- 13Jesse Kriel
- 14Cheslin Kolbe
- 15Damian Willemse
Replacements
- 16Malcolm Marx
- 17Ox Nché
- 18Wilco Louw
- 19Lood de Jager
- 20André Esterhuizen
- 21Cameron Hanekom
- 22Morné van den Berg
- 23Manie Libbok
New Zealand
- 1George Bower
- 2Codie Taylor
- 3Tyrel Lomax
- 4Fabian Holland
- 5Tupou Vaa'i
- 6Simon Parker
- 7Luke Jacobson
- 8Ardie Savea
- 9Cam Roigard
- 10Ruben Love
- 11Leroy Carter
- 12Jordie Barrett
- 13Quinn Tupaea
- 14Will Jordan
- 15Damian McKenzie
Replacements
- 16Asafo Aumua
- 17Xavier Numia
- 18Fletcher Newell
- 19Patrick Tuipulotu
- 20Peter Lakai
- 21Kyle Preston
- 22Anton Lienert-Brown
- 23Josh Moorby
Possession and territory
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | Possession | 56.0% |
| 48.0% | Territory | 52.0% |
Attack
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 103 | Carries | 154 |
| 350m | Carry metres | 481m |
| 5 | Clean breaks | 7 |
| 25 | Defenders beaten | 40 |
| 6 | Offloads | 7 |
| 93 | Passes | 248 |
Defence
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 186 | Tackles made | 123 |
| 77.0% | Tackle success | 75.0% |
| 40 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 25 |
| 10 | Dominant tackles | 9 |
| 6 | Turnovers won | 2 |
Set pieces
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Lineout success | 83.0% |
| 9 | Lineouts won | 15 |
| 75.0% | Scrum success | 100.0% |
| 3 | Scrums won | 7 |
Breakdown
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | Ruck success | 96.0% |
| 79 | Rucks won | 111 |
| 2 | Mauls won | — |
Kicking
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 35 | Kicks from hand | 23 |
| 731m | Kick metres | 669m |
Discipline
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards(fewer is better) | — |
| 10 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 7 |
Scoring
| South Africa | Measure | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tries | 4 |
| 3 | Conversions | 3 |
| 4 | Penalty goals | — |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.