Rating
79
Elite — top 4% of the field · Glicko-2 1982 ±72
Record
47-1-17
72.3% of 65 matches in the last five years
Average margin
+14.3
34.6 for, 20.3 against
Home advantage
+2.7
Points per match better at home
Attack
+36%
34.6 scored per match, against the placed field's average
Defence
+27%
20.3 conceded per match; positive is fewer than average
- Head coach
- Dave Rennie
- Captain
- Ardie Savea
- Union
- New Zealand Rugby
- Emblem
- Silver fern
- First match
- 1903 3–22 (Sydney, Australia; 15 August 1903)
- Most caps
- Sam Whitelock (153)
- Leading scorer
- Dan Carter (1,598)
- Most tries
- Will Jordan (51)
- World Cups
- 10, from 1987
- Best World Cup
- Champions (1987, 2011, 2015)
From Wikipedia, read 2026-08-20. Not an input to any forecast — the rating does not know who is coaching.
Ireland2026-07-18 · home40–21won
Italy2026-07-11 · home47–17won
France2026-07-04 · home34–32won
Wales2025-11-22 · away52–26won
England2025-11-15 · away19–33lost
Newest first, from New Zealand's own point of view. Home and away are as the record stores them; a fixture the record does not mark neutral is listed as one side's home, which is right for a league round and wrong for a final played at a third ground.
Biggest win: 104-14 v USA
Heaviest defeat: 10-43 v South Africa
Elite — top 4% of the field
Box is the middle half of the ranked field, line is the median, dot is New Zealand. The scale is this domain's own and does not compare across the two.
Teams that play alike sit close together. The two axes hold 67% of the variation between teams. Component 1 (45%) rises with more average margin, less points conceded. Component 2 (22%) rises with more high-scoring matches and margin swing.
10 of 45 teams sit too close together to name without covering another team's point, so they are drawn unlabelled. Every dot is still a link to that team, and its name is in the tooltip.
Distance in the projection above, nearest first.