Australia v South Africa
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
32 – 6
17 July 1999Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
What the model says about Australia v South Africa
- Kick-off
- 10:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 19 m
- Temperature
- 14.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 8 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 11 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1Dan Crowley
- 2Jeremy Paul+10.0
- 3Patricio Noriega
- 4David Giffin+0.8
- 5John Welborn
- 6Matt Cockbain
- 7David Wilson(c)
- 8Toutai Kefu
- 9George Gregan
- 10Tim Horan
- 11Joe Roff-6.5
- 12Nathan Grey+10.3
- 13Dan Herbert
- 14Ben Tune-0.3
- 15Matt Burke
Replacements
- 16Glen Panoho
- 17Tiaan Strauss
- 18Mark Connors
- 19Phil Kearns
- 20Jason Little
- 21Chris Latham+0.2
- 22Chris Whitaker
South Africa
- 1Os du Randt+3.9
- 2Naka Drotske
- 3Cobus Visagie
- 4Selborne Boome
- 5Krynauw Otto
- 6Johan Erasmus(c)
- 7Andre Venter
- 8Anton Leonard
- 9Werner Swanepoel
- 10Braam van Straaten
- 11Stefan Terblanche-3.6
- 12Pieter Muller
- 13Robbie Fleck
- 14Breyton Paulse-2.6
- 15Percy Montgomery+0.2
Replacements
- 16Deon Kayser
- 17Ollie le Roux
- 18Willie Meyer
- 19Dave von Hoesslin
- 20Pieter Rossouw
- 21Charl Marais
- 22Albert van den Berg-6.0
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.