France v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
25 – 27
19 March 2000Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 7.5 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.5 mm
- Wind
- 18 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 15 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Christian Califano-10.0
- 2Marc dal Maso
- 3Franck Tournaire
- 4Olivier Brouzet
- 5Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 6Arnaud Costes
- 7Abdelatif Benazzi
- 8Thomas Lievremont-3.7
- 9Christophe Laussucq
- 10Gerald Merceron
- 11David Bory
- 12Stephane Glas
- 13Cedric Desbrosse
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Emile Ntamack
Replacements
- 16Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 17Lionel Mallier
- 18Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 19Franck Belot
- 20Aubin Hueber
- 21Alain Penaud
- 22David Venditti
Ireland
- 1Peter Clohessy
- 2Keith Wood(c)+3.6
- 3John Hayes
- 4Mick Galwey
- 5Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 6Simon Easterby-7.8
- 7Kieron Dawson
- 8Anthony Foley
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Denis Hickie+3.0
- 12Rob Henderson-2.2
- 13Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 14Kevin Maggs
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
- 16David Humphreys
- 17Paddy Johns
- 18Andy Ward
- 19Justin Fitzpatrick-4.2
- 20Guy Easterby
- 21Mike Mullins
- 22Frank Sheahan+3.9
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.