Australia v South Africa
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
26 – 6
29 July 2000Accor Stadium, Sydney
What the model says about Australia v South Africa
- Kick-off
- 10:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 3 m
- Temperature
- 10.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 13 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Australia
- 1Richard Harry
- 2Michael Foley
- 3Fletcher Dyson
- 4David Giffin+0.8
- 5John Eales(c)
- 6Mark Connors
- 7David Wilson
- 8Jim Williams
- 9George Gregan
- 10Stephen Larkham
- 11Joe Roff-6.5
- 12Jason Little
- 13Dan Herbert
- 14Stirling Mortlock+4.4
- 15Chris Latham+0.2
Replacements
- 16Jeremy Paul+10.0
- 17Toutai Kefu
- 18Matt Cockbain
- 19Ben Tune-0.3
- 20Glen Panoho
- 21Rod Kafer
- 22Sam Cordingley-3.1
South Africa
- 1Robbie Kempson
- 2Charl Marais
- 3Cobus Visagie
- 4Albert van den Berg-6.0
- 5Mark Andrews
- 6Corne Krige-5.2
- 7Andre Venter
- 8Andre Vos(c)
- 9Werner Swanepoel
- 10Braam van Straaten
- 11Pieter Rossouw
- 12De Wet Barry+0.2
- 13Robbie Fleck
- 14Breyton Paulse-2.6
- 15Thinus Delport
Replacements
- 16Warren Brosnihan
- 17Ollie le Roux
- 18John Smit+6.0
- 19Joost van der Westhuizen
- 20Percy Montgomery+0.2
- 21Jannes Labuschagne
- 22Chester Williams
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.