South Africa v Australia
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
18 – 19
26 August 2000Hollywoodbets Kings Park, Durban
What the model says about South Africa v Australia
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 9 m
- Temperature
- 20.4 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 14 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 13 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
South Africa
- 1Robbie Kempson
- 2Charl Marais
- 3Cobus Visagie
- 4Andre Venter
- 5Mark Andrews
- 6Johan Erasmus
- 7Corne Krige-5.2
- 8Andre Vos(c)
- 9Werner Swanepoel
- 10Braam van Straaten
- 11Breyton Paulse-2.6
- 12Robbie Fleck
- 13Grant Esterhuizen
- 14Chester Williams
- 15Thinus Delport
Replacements
- 16John Smit+6.0
- 17Ollie le Roux
- 18Albert van den Berg-6.0
- 19Warren Brosnihan
- 20Joost van der Westhuizen
- 21Jaco van der Westhuyzen+3.4
- 22Percy Montgomery+0.2
Australia
- 1Richard Harry
- 2Michael Foley
- 3Fletcher Dyson
- 4David Giffin+0.8
- 5John Eales(c)
- 6Mark Connors
- 7David Wilson
- 8Jim Williams
- 9George Gregan
- 10Stephen Larkham
- 11Joe Roff-6.5
- 12Jason Little
- 13Dan Herbert
- 14Stirling Mortlock+4.4
- 15Chris Latham+0.2
Replacements
- 16Ben Tune-0.3
- 17Rod Kafer
- 18Toutai Kefu
- 19Matt Cockbain
- 20Glen Panoho
- 21Jeremy Paul+10.0
- 22Sam Cordingley-3.1
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.