Ireland v France
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
22 – 15
17 February 2001Aviva Stadium, Dublin
What the model says about Ireland v France
- Kick-off
- 14:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 0 m
- Temperature
- 1.7 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 9 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 19 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Ireland
- 1Peter Clohessy
- 2Keith Wood(c)+3.6
- 3John Hayes
- 4Mick Galwey
- 5Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 6Alan Quinlan
- 7David Wallace-1.6
- 8Anthony Foley
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Tyrone Howe
- 12Rob Henderson-2.2
- 13Brian O'Driscoll-0.9
- 14Denis Hickie+3.0
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
- 16Emmet Byrne
- 17Gary Longwell
- 18Andy Ward
- 19Kevin Maggs
- 20Frank Sheahan+3.9
- 21Brian O'Meara
- 22David Humphreys
France
- 1Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 2Raphael Ibanez-4.5
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4David Auradou-6.7
- 5Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 6Christophe Moni
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Christophe Juillet
- 9Philippe Carbonneau
- 10Christophe Lamaison
- 11David Bory
- 12Franck Comba
- 13Richard Dourthe
- 14Philippe Bernat-Salles
- 15Xavier Garbajosa-2.6
Replacements
- 16Abdelatif Benazzi
- 17Christian Califano-10.0
- 18Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 19Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 20Gerald Merceron
- 21Olivier Azam
- 22Christophe Laussucq
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.