Scotland v England
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
3 – 29
2 February 2002Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
What the model says about Scotland v England
- Kick-off
- 16:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 49 m
- Temperature
- 9.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 5.5 mm
- Wind
- 44 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 19 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Scotland
- 1Tom Smith
- 2Gordon Bulloch
- 3Mattie Stewart
- 4Scott Murray
- 5Stuart Grimes
- 6Jason White+12.3
- 7Budge Pountney(c)
- 8Simon Taylor
- 9Bryan Redpath
- 10Duncan Hodge
- 11Chris Paterson+1.8
- 12Gregor Townsend
- 13James McLaren
- 14Brendan Laney
- 15Glenn Metcalfe
Replacements
- 16George Graham
- 17Robbie Russell+3.0
- 18Martin Leslie
- 19Jon Petrie
- 20Andy Nicol
- 21Andrew Henderson-4.3
- 22Jon Steel
England
- 1Graham Rowntree+1.5
- 2Steve Thompson+3.2
- 3Julian White-1.4
- 4Martin Johnson(c)+2.1
- 5Ben Kay+9.1
- 6Richard Hill
- 7Neil Back
- 8Joe Worsley+4.0
- 9Kyran Bracken-1.7
- 10Jonny Wilkinson+7.0
- 11Ben Cohen
- 12Mike Tindall+3.5
- 13Will Greenwood
- 14Austin Healey
- 15Jason Robinson+5.5
Replacements
- 16Nick Duncombe
- 17Danny Grewcock+4.0
- 18Iain Balshaw+8.5
- 19Jason Leonard
- 20Charlie Hodgson-2.4
- 21Mark Regan+1.8
- 22Martin Corry-6.2
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.