France v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
35 – 17
14 February 2004Stade de France, Saint-Denis
What the model says about France v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 13:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 33 m
- Temperature
- 5.3 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.0 mm
- Wind
- 8 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 29 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
France
- 1Sylvain Marconnet+0.2
- 2William Servat+1.4
- 3Pieter de Villiers-5.0
- 4Fabien Pelous(c)+1.3
- 5Pascal Pape+1.7
- 6Serge Betsen Tchoua+7.0
- 7Olivier Magne+10.5
- 8Imanol Harinordoquy+0.6
- 9Jean-Baptiste Elissalde+1.3
- 10Frederic Michalak+2.7
- 11Christophe Dominici-5.2
- 12Damien Traille+3.1
- 13Yannick Jauzion+9.9
- 14Vincent Clerc+1.5
- 15Nicolas Brusque+1.9
Replacements
Ireland
- 1Reggie Corrigan-1.6
- 2Shane Byrne
- 3John Hayes
- 4Malcolm O'Kelly-2.5
- 5Paul O'Connell(c)-2.4
- 6Simon Easterby-7.8
- 7Keith Gleeson
- 8Anthony Foley
- 9Peter Stringer+11.4
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Tyrone Howe
- 12Kevin Maggs
- 13Gordon D'Arcy-0.8
- 14Shane Horgan+5.3
- 15Girvan Dempsey+0.1
Replacements
- 16Frank Sheahan+3.9
- 17Simon Best+5.9
- 18Donncha O'Callaghan
- 19Victor Costello-4.5
- 20Guy Easterby
- 21David Humphreys
- 22Anthony Horgan
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Scoring
| France | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tries | 2 |
| 3 | Conversions | 2 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.