Argentina v Ireland
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
30 – 15
30 September 2007Parc des Princes, Paris · neutral venue
What the model says about Argentina v Ireland
- Kick-off
- 15:00 UTC
- Elevation
- 32 m
- Temperature
- 13.9 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.3 mm
- Wind
- 13 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
Beside a name: points of margin the side has beaten its own rating by with him in the squad, against the same period without him. 14 of the 44 named here have enough matches on both sides to measure.
Argentina
- 1Rodrigo Roncero
- 2Mario Ledesma Arocena
- 3Martin Scelzo
- 4Ignacio Fernandez Lobbe
- 5Patricio Albacete
- 6Lucas Ostiglia
- 7Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe
- 8Gonzalo Longo Elia
- 9Agustin Pichot(c)
- 10Juan Martin Hernandez+0.3
- 11Horacio Agulla
- 12Felipe Contepomi-2.0
- 13Manuel Contepomi
- 14Lucas Borges
- 15Ignacio Corleto
Replacements
- 16Alberto Vernet Basualdo
- 17Omar Hasan Jalil
- 18Rimas Alvarez Kairelis
- 19Martin Durand
- 20Nicolas Fernandez Miranda
- 21Federico Todeschini
- 22Hernan Senillosa
Ireland
- 1Marcus Horan
- 2Jerry Flannery+3.4
- 3John Hayes
- 4Donncha O'Callaghan
- 5Paul O'Connell-2.4
- 6Simon Easterby-7.8
- 7David Wallace-1.6
- 8Denis Leamy+5.0
- 9Eoin Reddan-4.6
- 10Ronan O'Gara
- 11Denis Hickie+3.0
- 12Gordon D'Arcy-0.8
- 13Brian O'Driscoll(c)-0.9
- 14Shane Horgan+5.3
- 15Geordan Murphy-2.5
Replacements
Measured against the side's point-in-time rating, so opposition and venue are already removed, and over the years between a player's first and last cap rather than his side's whole history. None of the 778 players assessed has a gap larger than chance explains once the number tested is corrected for — a rating already contains the players who usually play for a side, so what a team sheet can add to it is small. Team selection is not an input to the forecast on this page. The full table and the method.
Possession and territory
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | Possession | 46.0% |
| 58.0% | Territory | 42.0% |
Attack
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 370m | Carry metres | 464m |
| 8 | Defenders beaten | 6 |
| 10 | Offloads | 10 |
| 83 | Passes | 83 |
Defence
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 76 | Tackles made | 82 |
| 7 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 9 |
| 13 | Turnovers won | 2 |
Set pieces
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 81.8% | Lineout success | 80.0% |
| 9 | Lineouts won | 12 |
| 9 | Scrums won | 8 |
Breakdown
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 70 | Rucks won | 48 |
| 6 | Mauls won | 2 |
Discipline
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 5 |
| 5 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 4 |
Scoring
| Argentina | Measure | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tries | 2 |
| 1 | Conversions | 1 |
| 3 | Penalty goals | 1 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.