Ireland v Wales
What the record holds about this fixture, beside what the model says about it.
Aviva Stadium, Dublin
What the model says about Ireland v Wales
Conditions
- Kick-off
- 13:30 UTC
- Elevation
- 0 m
- Temperature
- 15.0 °C
- Rainfall
- 0.3 mm
- Wind
- 19 km/h
Daily means at the ground, from the ERA5 reanalysis via Open-Meteo.
The ground from above
What happened in the phases
Possession and territory
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | Possession | 44.0% |
| 57.0% | Territory | 43.0% |
Attack
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 334m | Carry metres | 292m |
| 12 | Defenders beaten | 11 |
| 3 | Offloads | 8 |
| 184 | Passes | 148 |
Defence
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 121 | Tackles made | 204 |
| 11 | Missed tackles(fewer is better) | 12 |
| 8 | Turnovers won | 6 |
Set pieces
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 92.3% | Lineout success | 80.0% |
| 12 | Lineouts won | 16 |
| 3 | Scrums won | 6 |
Breakdown
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 140 | Rucks won | 94 |
| 2 | Mauls won | 6 |
Kicking
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 476m | Kick metres | 716m |
Discipline
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Penalties conceded(fewer is better) | 8 |
| 14 | Knock-ons(fewer is better) | 16 |
Scoring
| Ireland | Measure | Wales |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tries | 1 |
| 1 | Conversions | 1 |
| 1 | Penalty goals | 3 |
Context beside the forecast, never inside it. Weather, team selection and match statistics are not model inputs, so a published probability does not move because any of them changed.